Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 48.973805 55.056375 61.395350 68.477137 76.150333 84.195900 93.252134
2024-10-20 38.958491 47.747047 57.476911 68.969384 82.092423 96.531048 113.536915
2024-10-27 32.078537 41.898417 53.255741 67.202948 83.705291 102.446654 125.171254
2024-11-03 29.165319 40.111031 53.220271 69.814669 89.988133 113.447272 142.505155
2024-11-10 26.335372 37.997027 52.417918 71.176495 94.531534 122.253235 157.222257
2024-11-17 23.409158 35.403392 50.703359 71.127773 97.130821 128.584838 168.925539
2024-11-24 22.016718 34.645701 51.177696 73.720030 102.941015 138.824054 185.450709
2024-12-01 19.807855 32.547556 49.696194 73.611406 105.201475 144.602684 196.490917
2024-12-08 17.600700 30.232893 47.724572 72.671527 106.240326 148.748093 205.453414
2024-12-15 15.974251 28.600843 46.547659 72.671055 108.411716 154.281722 216.169787
2024-12-22 14.534808 27.110673 45.447169 72.666178 110.497907 159.668698 226.715236
2024-12-29 14.040976 27.030292 46.342627 75.437436 116.355507 170.037363 243.806268
2025-01-05 13.022879 26.061653 45.912664 76.354922 119.771738 177.363542 257.230002
2025-01-12 12.003340 25.003209 45.280521 76.938335 122.723758 184.123599 270.036616
2025-01-19 10.506295 22.987505 43.036308 75.013704 122.029708 185.889027 276.176813
2025-01-26 10.207405 23.023304 43.983328 77.848541 128.133092 196.950478 294.846082
2025-02-02 9.644514 22.532213 44.048516 79.324990 132.288328 205.386904 310.083280
2025-02-09 8.826964 21.493733 43.155012 79.272202 134.186627 210.706473 321.146518
2025-02-16 8.611612 21.571389 44.097061 82.081493 140.321320 221.989000 340.454125
2025-02-23 7.889985 20.597805 43.211197 81.963817 142.092863 227.164250 351.442829
2025-03-02 7.083762 19.369488 41.808366 80.945449 142.457569 230.322006 359.653976
2025-03-09 6.508045 18.552550 41.066004 80.944937 144.327969 235.615105 370.859076
2025-03-16 5.979623 17.778433 40.347875 80.939653 146.164282 240.859123 382.032821